Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.027054 0.029431 0.031920 0.034721 0.037788 0.041045 0.044768
2025-07-13 0.023051 0.026455 0.030227 0.034723 0.039944 0.045826 0.052971
2025-07-20 0.020516 0.024500 0.029103 0.034831 0.041787 0.049984 0.060413
2025-07-27 0.018729 0.023097 0.028321 0.035052 0.043530 0.053900 0.067611
2025-08-03 0.017110 0.021684 0.027315 0.034793 0.044513 0.056785 0.073565
2025-08-10 0.016029 0.020815 0.026864 0.035115 0.046148 0.060488 0.080699
2025-08-17 0.014802 0.019642 0.025903 0.034650 0.046646 0.062650 0.085833
2025-08-24 0.013689 0.018527 0.024918 0.034046 0.046859 0.064367 0.090382
2025-08-31 0.012813 0.017663 0.024197 0.033726 0.047396 0.066504 0.095583
2025-09-07 0.012054 0.016905 0.023564 0.033462 0.047961 0.068662 0.100895
2025-09-14 0.011403 0.016254 0.023031 0.033291 0.048618 0.070953 0.106493
2025-09-21 0.010743 0.015548 0.022370 0.032881 0.048873 0.072629 0.111219
2025-09-28 0.010282 0.015128 0.022132 0.033127 0.050197 0.076093 0.119121
2025-10-05 0.009787 0.014631 0.021755 0.033145 0.051179 0.079105 0.126549
2025-10-12 0.009356 0.014205 0.021454 0.033251 0.052289 0.082366 0.134581
2025-10-19 0.008987 0.013848 0.021235 0.033461 0.053561 0.085937 0.143343
2025-10-26 0.008542 0.013345 0.020753 0.033215 0.054060 0.088256 0.150107
2025-11-02 0.008254 0.013074 0.020621 0.033521 0.055478 0.092166 0.159872
2025-11-09 0.007827 0.012555 0.020060 0.033079 0.055594 0.093857 0.165792
2025-11-16 0.007404 0.012020 0.019444 0.032504 0.055438 0.095053 0.170869
2025-11-23 0.007064 0.011605 0.019003 0.032199 0.055727 0.097029 0.177490
2025-11-30 0.006757 0.011230 0.018608 0.031948 0.056089 0.099140 0.184486
2025-12-07 0.006486 0.010901 0.018276 0.031786 0.056593 0.101525 0.192145